The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a weather forecast that predicts widespread rainfall across various regions of India. This rainfall is expected from June 21 to 27, 2025. The forecast comes due to multiple low-pressure systems and cyclonic circulations forming over the country.
Heavy to extremely heavy rainfall is likely in Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, and parts of the Northeast and Northwest regions. These states should prepare for significant downpours, especially on June 21 and 23. Meteorologists expect cooler temperatures in some areas, bringing relief from the heat.
This year, the monsoon season started early. The IMD declared the onset of the southwest monsoon over Kerala on May 24. This was eight days earlier than the usual start date of June 1. The monsoon season, lasting from June to September, is crucial for India as it provides more than 70% of the country’s annual rainfall.
The early arrival of the monsoon is significant for farmers and the agricultural sector. It can help in the timely planting of crops, which is essential for a good harvest. The IMD uses specific criteria to announce the monsoon’s onset. These include measuring rainfall and wind patterns across several meteorological stations. They also consider satellite-derived data on outgoing longwave radiation.
This year, several atmospheric factors contributed to the early onset of the monsoon. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is one such factor. This natural phenomenon influences weather patterns and can enhance rainfall during the monsoon. Additionally, the Mascarene High, a high-pressure area in the Indian Ocean, has been strong, which can lead to heavy rains along India’s west coast.
Other factors include increased convective activity that aids rainfall and the Somali jet, which is a wind band that enhances monsoon winds. A heat-low pressure area, developing over Pakistan, has also contributed to good moisture flow into India.
As the monsoon progresses, the IMD expects it to cover more regions. By the end of June, it is likely that the monsoon will have advanced across most of India. The Northern Limit of Monsoon, which marks the monsoon’s progress, currently stretches through several states, including Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.
Farmers are advised to take precautions as heavy rains can lead to flooding and waterlogging in fields. It is essential for them to monitor weather updates closely and prepare for any adverse conditions. The monsoon can be both a blessing and a challenge, depending on the timing and amount of rainfall.
In conclusion, the monsoon season is vital for India’s agriculture. The recent forecast of heavy rainfall indicates an active monsoon period ahead. Farmers should stay informed and be ready to adapt their practices to ensure a successful growing season. As the country braces for these rains, it is a reminder of the power of nature and its impact on our lives.